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Advanced Micro Devices Fundamental Analysis November 2023

Advanced Micro Devices Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental Analysis of Advanced Micro Devices.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has solidified its presence in the semiconductor market by transitioning from a purely consumer-focused PC chip provider to an enterprise-oriented company. This strategic shift has enabled AMD to challenge NVIDIA’s dominant position in the graphics processing unit (GPU) market with its Radeon chips.

In the consumer PC market, AMD has emerged as a significant competitor to Intel. The improvement is due to its AMD Ryzen desktop processor family. The company offers a range of desktop-based processors, including Ryzen and high-end Ryzen Threadripper processors. Additionally, AMD provides processors like Athlon and AMD PRO series to cater to both commercial and consumer desktop PC markets.

AMD’s processors are primarily built on the company’s proprietary “Zen” CPU and “Vega” GPU architectures. The acquisition of Xilinx has further expanded AMD’s presence in various embedded markets. AMD now offers a diverse portfolio of products, including Field Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs), Adaptive SoCs, and Adaptive Compute Acceleration Platform (ACAP) products. The acquisition of Pensando has also extended AMD’s footprint into the data center market. In this market, AMD offers high-performance data processing units (DPUs) and a comprehensive software stack.

Headquartered in Santa Clara, CA, AMD reported total revenues of $23.601 billion in 2022. When considering the combined revenues of AMD and Xilinx on a pro forma basis, the figure rises to $24.1 billion.

Business Organization

AMD’s business is organized into four primary segments: Data Center, Client, Gaming, and Embedded.

  1. Data Center: This segment encompasses server CPUs and GPUs, DPUs, FPGAs, and adaptive SoC products designed for data centers. Notable offerings include the AMD EPYC Series processors, such as the AMD EPYC 9004 Series, AMD EPYC 7003 Series, and AMD EPYC 7002 Series.
  2. Client: The Client segment includes CPUs, APUs, and chipsets tailored for desktop and notebook personal computers. Key products within this category include the AMD Ryzen and AMD Athlon series processors for desktop platforms.
  3. Gaming: This segment focuses on discrete GPUs, semi-custom System-on-Chip (SoC) products, and development services to serve the gaming industry.
  4. Embedded: This segment comprises embedded CPUs, GPUs, APUs, FPGAs, and adaptive SoC products designed for various embedded applications and markets.

Through these segments and its strategic evolution, AMD has positioned itself as a formidable player in the semiconductor industry, offering a diverse range of solutions for various computing and data processing needs.

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REASONS TO BUY.

According to the Fundamental Analysis of Advanced Micro Devices, we think there are several reasons to buy the stock.

Expanding Portfolio in AI market.

AMD is significantly expanding its presence in the artificial intelligence (AI) market by continually enhancing its product portfolio. The recent introduction of the MI300 series accelerator family reinforces AMD’s competitive position in the generative AI sector. This accelerator family is built on AMD’s CDNA 3 accelerator architecture and boasts support for up to 192 GB of HBM3 memory. To provide context, NVIDIA’s H100 NVL dual-GPU card offers 188GB of HBM3 memory. These impressive specifications make the AMD MI300X exceptionally well-suited for handling extensive language model training, accommodating up to 80 billion parameters, and facilitating inference for generative AI workloads.

Additionally, AMD has introduced the Instinct platform. This solution combines eight MI300X accelerators into a design adhering to industry standards. This platform is strategically designed to address the growing demand for AI inference and training. In the second quarter of 2023, engagements related to AI clusters experienced remarkable growth, expanding by over seven times sequentially. Multiple customers initiated or expanded programs that leverage AMD’s MI250 and MI300, demonstrating the increasing adoption of AMD’s AI solutions in this dynamic market.

Strongness in Data Center Market.

AMD has successfully established a robust presence in the data center market, driven by the widespread adoption of its EPYC processors. The second quarter of 2023 witnessed a remarkable surge in the adoption of the fourth-generation EPYC CPUs, with revenues nearly doubling sequentially. This surge was propelled by cloud service providers expanding their deployments to support both internal infrastructure and public instance offerings. Notably, AMD has been strengthening its partnerships with major players in the industry, including Amazon, Alibaba, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, and Oracle.

Furthermore, several cloud providers introduced multiple Genoa-based instances during the second quarter. Currently, there are more than 670 publicly available cloud instances powered by AMD technology. This number is anticipated to grow by 30%, in 2023, primarily driven by the increasing adoption of Genoa-based solutions. AMD’s strategic positioning and strong partnerships underscore its continued growth and influence in the data center segment.

Acquisition of Xilinx.

AMD’s commitment to its embedded business is truly remarkable, and its acquisition of Xilinx has played a pivotal role in this endeavor. The company has consistently pushed the boundaries of emulation devices’ capacity, with each successive generation nearly doubling its capabilities. The recent introduction of the VP1902 adaptive System-on-Chip (SoC) is a testament to this dedication, featuring an impressive 18.5 million logic cells. This represents a significant leap in programmable logic density, effectively doubling the capacity compared to the previous-generation Virtex UltraScale+ VU19P FPGA.

What’s even more impressive is that the VP1902 SoC boasts twice the aggregate I/O bandwidth, delivering enhanced performance that caters to the demands of intricate and resource-intensive designs. AMD’s investment in this space exemplifies its commitment to staying at the forefront of technological innovation.

Improvement in Commercial and Server Market.

AMD’s strong foothold in 7 nanometer-based processors is poised to fortify its competitive standing in the commercial and server markets. Leveraging the cutting-edge 7 nm process technology from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, AMD has been able to expedite the delivery of its advanced 7 nm chips to the market.

One of AMD’s notable achievements is the innovative chiplet design of the Radeon RX 7900 series, which ingeniously combines the power of 5 nm and 6 nm process nodes, with each optimized to enhance the performance of specific components within the GPU.

Robust Financial Position.

In terms of management execution, AMD has demonstrated commendable performance. As of July 1, 2023, the company boasts a robust financial position with cash and cash equivalents, including marketable securities, totaling $6.29 billion, while its total debt stands at $2.47 billion. The second quarter saw strong operating cash flow of $379 million, with free cash flow reaching $254 million, indicative of the company’s financial health and prudent management.

ced Micro Devices.

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